Washington State Unconstrained Forecast Report

A draft working document prepared by the Commercial Aviation Work Group presents an unconstrained air travel demand forecast for Washington State's 17 busiest commercial airports, with Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (SEA) leading at approximately 26.3 million enplanements in 2025 out of a statewide total of nearly 29.8 million. The report, dated April 28, 2026, covers market analysis and air traffic forecasts across airports ranging from large hubs like Sea-Tac and Spokane International to smaller facilities such as Renton Municipal and Roche Harbor. The forecast is described as 'unconstrained,' meaning it projects potential demand without accounting for limitations in airport capacity or infrastructure.

Notes

Draft unconstrained air travel demand forecast report prepared by Steer for the Commercial Aviation Work Group (CAWG), presented April 28, 2026 in Moses Lake, Washington. Covers Washington State’s 17 busiest commercial airports including SEA (Seattle-Tacoma International, 26.317M enplanements), GEG (Spokane International, 2.114M), PSC (Tri-Cities, 0.528M), PAE (Seattle Paine Field, 0.306M), BLI (Bellingham International, 0.226M), PUW (Pullman/Moscow Regional), EAT (Pangborn Memorial), YKM (Yakima Air Terminal/McAllister Field), ALW (Walla Walla Regional), BFI (Boeing Field/King County), FRD (Friday Harbor Airport), TCM (McChord Field), ESD (Orcas Island), KEH (Kenmore Air Harbor), FBS (Friday Harbor Seaplane Base), RCE (Roche Harbor), and RNT (Renton Municipal). Total statewide enplanements estimated at 29.762 million in 2025. Report sections cover market analysis and air traffic forecast. Data sourced from BTS T100, SEA Statistics.

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