Testimony of Dr. Lynn O. Michaelis on the Third Runway at Sea-Tac Airport, Aviation Subcommittee Hearing, Des Moines Field House, March 18, 1996

In this 1996 testimony to the Aviation Subcommittee, economist Dr. Lynn O. Michaelis argues that the proposed third runway at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport is economically unjustified, citing flawed pricing schemes that fail to account for peak-hour demand and encourage inefficient small-plane operations. He contends that federal funding is being used to bypass local accountability, masking the project's poor return on investment — estimated at less than 1% on a $500 million expenditure. Michaelis also criticizes the airline industry's exemption from pollution-related cost corrections that apply to other industries, arguing that nearby residents bear a disproportionate share of the environmental costs.

Notes

Testimony by Dr. Lynn O. Michaelis, economist at Weyerhaeuser Company, to the Aviation Subcommittee hearing on the proposed third runway at Sea-Tac Airport, delivered at Des Moines Field House on March 18, 1996. Michaelis argues that the Port of Seattle’s demand projections are based on a faulty per-pound landing pricing scheme that fails to allocate scarce operating slots efficiently, encourages small inefficient commuter aircraft (United Express and Horizon accounted for 35% of operations but only 8.7% of passengers in 1990), and that the projected capacity shortage mirrors the WPPS nuclear power fiasco driven by artificially low pricing. He contends that federal funding allows the Port to avoid local scrutiny and that the $500 million third runway capital cost would generate less than 1% return on investment, serving approximately 100,000 commuter aircraft carrying only 1 million passengers generating under $4 million in revenue. Michaelis advocates for peak-hour pricing, market-based slot allocation, and local bond financing rather than federal subsidy.

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