Letter from FAA to Jody Yamanaka, Port Of Seattle, Regarding BFI Aviation Demand Forecast Review

A January 1982 letter from the FAA's Northwest Region to the Port of Seattle reviews a draft aviation demand forecast for Boeing Field (BFI) prepared for the SEA/BFI Airspace Study. The FAA requests that the final report include more detailed aircraft mix data by class, a full list of assumptions behind the forecasts (such as economic conditions, fuel costs, and general aviation trends), and a clear indication that the projections are unconstrained. The agency also recommends presenting both high and low forecast ranges to account for uncertainty, particularly in long-range general aviation projections.

Notes

Letter dated January 15, 1982 from Mark A. Beisse, Acting Chief, Planning and Programming Branch (ANW-610), FAA Northwest Region, to Jody Yamanaka, Department of Planning and Research, Port of Seattle, reviewing the second draft forecast of aviation demand for Boeing Field (BFI) for use in the SEA/BFI Airspace Study. Comments address: annual operations by aircraft class per Exhibit 3 of the work program; aircraft mix data; assumptions underlying category forecasts including general economy, fuel costs, and general aviation trends; use of Washington State Airport System Plan (October 1980) growth rates (.98% and .94% per year); unconstrained forecasts; and recommendation to include high and low forecast ranges to reflect long-range uncertainty, with reference to Task 5 airspace interactions. References FAA Aviation Forecasts–Seattle-Tacoma (December 1979) and conversation with Don Maddison on 11/5/81. Copied to Don Smith, Bill Hamilton, Joe Sims.

V V