WA System Plan Chapter 7

Washington Aviation System Plan, July 1, 2009 Page 133 CHAPTER 7: ACTIVITY FORECAST Purpose and Scope of Activity Forecasts In Phase II of the Long-Term Air Transportation Study (LATS), forecasts of future aviation activity at public use airports across Washington State were developed. Forecasts of aviation activity are divided into the following segments: commercial passenger traffic forecasts, general aviation activity forecasts, and air cargo activity forecasts. A base year of 2005 was used in the forecasts, representing the most current actual data, with the various activity measures forecast in five to ten year increments through the Year 2030. A complete discussion of the forecast results and methodology used to derive the forecasts is presented in Chapters 5 through 8 in the LATS Phase II Report issued June 30, 2007. Forecasting future aviation demand is critical to long range facility planning for the state. Expectations regarding future activity within regional planning districts and at individual airports will be weighed against current airport capacity to determine potential facility shortfalls and, where these shortfalls exist, to determine alternative strategies for meeting regional and statewide demand. By identifying potential capacity constraints well in advance, the State and FAA will be positioned to identify, fund and implement needed airport facility enhancements so that the air transportation needs of residents and visitors to Washington State can continue to be effectively met. It is important to recognize that the forecasts prepared and utilized in connection with the Long-Term Air Transportation Study were developed with a statewide, macro-level…
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