Highline Forum PSRC Regional Aviation Baseline Study presentation

Source: International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) for the U.S. Total, FAA Terminal Area Forecast (TAF) for SEA. Commercial Service Forecast & Gap Analysis Scenarios Analyzed to Address 2050 Demand Scenario 1: Baseline (50-60% of demand) Scenario 2: Meet 80% of demand Scenario 3: Meet 100% of demand 55 million million million million 2050 Passenger Enplanement Forecast Scenario 1: Baseline (50-60% of Demand) No additional facilities Sea-Tac: Implements range of near- term and long-term projects Paine Field: Maintains current capacity Existing Commercial Facilities New Commercial Capacity Required Sea-Tac: Implements near-term and long-term projects airport with 2 runways Scenario 2: Meet 80% of Demand Bellingham Intl.John WayneSan Jose Intl. Sacramento Intl. Paine Field: Maintains current capacity single-runway airports Existing Commercial Facilities New Commercial Capacity Required Scenario 3: Meet 100% of Demand Sea-Tac International Sea-Tac: Implements near-term and long-term projects Paine Field: Maintains current capacity Existing Commercial Facilities New Commercial Capacity Required airport with 3 runways Multiple airports totaling 3 runways Impacts of Delay Av er ag e An nu al A irc ra ft D el ay (m in ut es p er pe ra tio n) Annual Aircraft Operations Operations in 2018 Projected “Baseline” activity in 2050 • Based on airfield capacity: airspace, runways, taxiways • Not impacted by increase in gates • Activity levels higher than 490,000 would likely involve FAA management of operations and/or “slot controls” like JFK, LGA and DCA Projected Sea-Tac Commercial Service Delay Demand Factors Increasing population and jobs • The region is expected to grow…
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