D Chapter 2 Forecast

Landrum & Brown Team Chapter Two – Forecast October 2013 Page 2-1 CHAPTER TWO FORECAST A forecast of aviation activity was prepared for the purpose of developing noise exposure contours for projected future conditions for this Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study Update. This forecast projected activity levels through 2021 and was submitted to the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) for approval in July 2010. The FAA approved the use of this forecast for this Part 150 Study in a letter dated August 19, 2010. A copy of this approval letter is included in Appendix N, Forecast Approval. The following sections include the information that was included in the forecast document that was submitted to the FAA in July 2010. This forecast was used to develop input data representative of 2018 conditions, which was used to prepare the noise exposure contour for the Future (2018) Noise Exposure Map (NEM). 2.1 INTRODUCTION This document was prepared to provide a forecast of future aviation characteristics and operating levels to support the requirements of the Part 150 planning process for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (Sea-Tac Airport). The year 2009 was used as the base year for forecast purposes. The key benchmark year for the forecast is 2018, which corresponds to the 5-year projection from the Existing (2013) NEM. The aviation forecasts are presented for the following types of activity at Sea-Tac Airport: 1. Commercial Passenger 2. Air Cargo 3. Air Taxi and General Aviation 4. Military 2.2 COMMERCIAL PASSENGER This section provides a summary of historical…

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